Green Card Lottery – Visa Not Guaranteed

Hi ZS, assuming that whether or one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, post?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as an unbiased event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent events. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Useful and obviously the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after (if it is precisely what your problem is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately ten.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which comes down to 1 chance out of 192,307.

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